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1.
BMC Pulm Med ; 23(1): 516, 2023 Dec 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38129862

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Evidence on the relationship between air pollution and allergic sensitisation in childhood is inconsistent, and this relationship has not been investigated in the context of smoke events that are predicted to increase with climate change. Thus, we aimed to evaluate associations between exposure in two early life periods to severe levels of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 µm (PM2.5) from a mine fire, background PM2.5, and allergic sensitisation later in childhood. METHODS: We measured specific immunoglobulin E (IgE) levels for seven common aeroallergens as well as total IgE levels in a cohort of children who had been exposed to the Hazelwood coal mine fire, either in utero or during their first two years of life, in a regional area of Australia where ambient levels of PM2.5 are generally low. We estimated personal exposure to fire-specific emissions of PM2.5 based on a high-resolution meteorological and pollutant dispersion model and detailed reported movements of pregnant mothers and young children during the fire. We also estimated the usual background exposure to PM2.5 at the residential address at birth using a national satellite-based land-use regression model. Associations between both sources of PM2.5 and sensitisation to dust, cat, fungi, and grass seven years after the fire were estimated with logistic regression, while associations with total IgE levels were estimated with linear regression. RESULTS: No association was found between the levels of exposure at either developmental stage to fire-related PM2.5 and allergic sensitisation seven years after the event. However, levels of background exposure were positively associated with sensitisation to dust (OR = 1.90, 95%CI = 1.12,3.21 per 1 µg/m3). CONCLUSIONS: Chronic but low exposure to PM2.5 in early life could be more strongly associated with allergic sensitisation in childhood than time-limited high exposure levels, such as the ones experienced during landscape fires.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Enfermedades del Sistema Inmune , Recién Nacido , Embarazo , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Preescolar , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Polvo , Inmunoglobulina E , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos
2.
Environ Health Perspect ; 131(11): 117005, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37962441

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Episodic spikes in air pollution due to landscape fires are increasing, and their potential for longer term health impacts is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: Our objective is to evaluate associations between exposure in utero and in infancy to severe pollution from a mine fire, background ambient air pollution, and subsequent hospital care. METHODS: We linked health records of births, emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalizations of children born in the Latrobe Valley, Australia, 2012-2015, which included a severe pollution episode from a mine fire (9 February 2014 to 25 March 2014). We assigned modeled exposure estimates for fire-related and ambient particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of 2.5µm (PM2.5) to residential address. We used logistic regression to estimate associations with hospital visits for any cause and groupings of infectious, allergic, and respiratory conditions. Outcomes were assessed for the first year of life in the in utero cohort and the year following the fire in the infant cohort. We estimated exposure-response for both fire-related and ambient PM2.5 and also employed inverse probability weighting using the propensity score to compare exposed and not/minimally exposed children. RESULTS: Prenatal exposure to fire-related PM2.5 was associated with ED presentations for allergies/skin rash [odds ratio (OR)=1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01, 1.76 per 240 µg/m3 increase]. Exposure in utero to ambient PM2.5 was associated with overall presentations (OR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.33 per 1.4 µg/m3) and visits for infections (ED: OR=1.13, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.29; hospitalizations: OR=1.23, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.52). Exposure in infancy to fire-related PM2.5 compared to no/minimal exposure, was associated with ED presentations for respiratory (OR=1.37, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.80) and infectious conditions (any: OR=1.21, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.49; respiratory-related: OR=1.39, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.83). Early life exposure to ambient PM2.5 was associated with overall ED visits (OR=1.17, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.30 per 1.4 µg/m3 increase). DISCUSSION: Higher episodic and lower ambient concentrations of PM2.5 in early life were associated with visits for allergic, respiratory, and infectious conditions. Our findings also indicated differences in associations at the two developmental stages. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP12238.


Asunto(s)
Contaminación del Aire , Humo , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Embarazo , Australia/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Hospitales , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud , Humo/efectos adversos
3.
Lancet Reg Health West Pac ; 38: 100815, 2023 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37790083

RESUMEN

Background: Understanding mortality burden associated with communicable diseases is key to informing resource allocation, disease prevention and control efforts, and evaluating public health interventions. We quantified excess mortality among people notified with communicable diseases in Victoria, Australia. Methods: Cases of communicable disease notified in Victoria between 1 January 1991 and 31 December 2021 were linked to the death registry. Informational gain obtained through linkage and 30-day case fatality rates were calculated for each disease. Standardised mortality ratios (SMR) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated up to a year following illness onset. Findings: There were 1,032,619 cases and 5985 (0.58%) died ≤30 days of illness onset. Following linkage, the 30-day case fatality rate increased more than 2-fold. Diseases with high 7-day SMR signifying excess mortality included invasive pneumococcal disease (167.7, 95% CI 153.4-182.7); listeriosis (166.2, 95% CI 121.2-218.3); invasive meningococcal disease (145.9, 95% CI 116.7-178.3); legionellosis (43.3, 95% CI 28.0-62.0); and COVID-19 (21.9, 95% CI 19.7-24.3). Most diseases exhibited a strong negative gradient, with high SMRs in the first 7-days of illness onset that reduced over time. Interpretation: We demonstrated that the rate of death in Victoria's notifiable disease surveillance dataset is underestimated. Further, compared to a general population, there is evidence of elevated all-cause mortality among people notified with communicable diseases often up to one year following illness onset. Not all elevated risk is likely directly attributable to the communicable diseases of interest, rather, it may reflect underlying comorbidities or behaviours in these individuals. Regardless of attribution, infection with communicable diseases may represent a marker of mortality. Key to preventing deaths may be through timely and appropriate transition to primary and preventive healthcare following diagnosis. Funding: No funding was provided for this study.

4.
Sci Total Environ ; 883: 163580, 2023 Jul 20.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37100138

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Due to climate change, landscape fires account for an increasing proportion of air pollution emissions, and their impacts on primary and pharmaceutical care are little understood. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate associations between exposure in two early life periods to severe levels of PM2.5 from a mine fire, background PM2.5, and primary and pharmaceutical care. METHODS: We linked records of births, general practitioner (GP) presentations and prescription dispensing for children born in the Latrobe Valley, Australia, 2012-2014, where a severe mine fire occurred in February-March 2014 in an area with otherwise low levels of ambient PM2.5. We assigned modelled exposure estimates for fire-related (cumulative over the fire and peak 24-hour average) and annual ambient PM2.5 to residential address. Associations with GP presentations and dispensing of prescribed medications in the first two years of life (exposure in utero) and in the two years post-fire (exposure in infancy) were estimated using two-pollutant quasi-Poisson regression models. RESULTS: Exposure in utero to fire-related PM2.5 was associated with an increase in systemic steroid dispensing (Cumulative: IRR = 1.11, 95%CI = 1.00-1.24 per 240 µg/m3; Peak: IRR = 1.15, 95%CI = 1.00-1.32 per 45 µg/m3), while exposure in infancy was associated with antibiotic dispensing (Cumulative: IRR = 1.05, 95%CI = 1.00-1.09; Peak: IRR = 1.06, 95%CI = 1.00-1.12). Exposure in infancy to ambient PM2.5, despite relatively low levels from a global perspective (Median = 6.1 µg/m3), was associated with an increase in antibiotics (IRR = 1.10, 95%CI = 1.01-1.19 per 1.4 µg/m3) and in GP presentations (IRR = 1.05, 95%CI = 1.00-1.11), independently from exposure to the fire. We also observed differences in associations between sexes with GP presentations (stronger in girls) and steroid skin cream dispensing (stronger in boys). DISCUSSION: Severe medium-term concentrations of PM2.5 were linked with increased pharmaceutical treatment for infections, while chronic low levels were associated with increased prescriptions dispensed for infections and primary care usage. Our findings also indicated differences between sexes.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Incendios , Servicios Farmacéuticos , Masculino , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Humo/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis
5.
Aust N Z J Public Health ; 47(2): 100039, 2023 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37004338

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To describe the first outbreak of Barmah Forest virus (BFv) in Tasmania and identify potential vectors for BFv in Tasmania. METHODS: A retrospective descriptive study of BFv notifications in the Tasmanian Notifiable Diseases Database (TNDD) was conducted. Adult mosquitoes were sampled from areas near outbreak cases and pooled samples were tested for BFv. RESULTS: 27 cases of confirmed BFv were recorded in the TNDD between 12 March 1999 and 30 June 2019. Nine cases were recorded between 21 January and 10 May 2019 that were acquired in Tasmania, with eight included in this confirmed outbreak. All outbreak cases resided in or travelled to locations in the Break O'Day Local Government Area and reported no recent interstate travel. No virus was detected in pooled mosquito samples. CONCLUSIONS: This is Tasmania's first confirmed outbreak of BFv. Known BFv vector species were identified in both saltmarsh and urban-fringe brackish saltmarsh larval habitats. BFv was not detected from pooled mosquito samples. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Clinicians should consider BFv as a possible diagnosis for presentations with fever and arthritis, and potential mosquito exposure in Tasmania. These findings will guide broadening of prevention-focussed public health messaging.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Alphavirus , Alphavirus , Culicidae , Adulto , Animales , Humanos , Infecciones por Alphavirus/epidemiología , Tasmania/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Mosquitos Vectores , Brotes de Enfermedades
6.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36654505

RESUMEN

Introduction: Healthcare facilities are high-risk settings for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) transmission. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the first large healthcare-associated outbreak within Australia occurred in Tasmania. Several operational research studies were conducted amongst workers from the implicated hospital campus, to learn more about COVID-19 transmission. Methods: Healthcare workers (HCWs) from the implicated hospital campus were invited to complete an online survey and participate in a serology study. Blood samples for serological testing were collected at approximately 12 weeks (round one) and eight months (round two) after the outbreak. A descriptive analysis was conducted of participant characteristics, serology results, and longevity of antibodies. Results: There were 261 HCWs in round one, of whom 44 (17%) were polymerase chain reaction (PCR) confirmed outbreak cases; 129 of the 261 (49%) participated in round two, of whom 34 (27%) were outbreak cases. The prevalence of positive antibodies at round one was 15% (n = 38) and at round two was 12% (n = 15). There were 15 participants (12%) who were seropositive in both rounds, with a further 9% (n = 12) of round two participants having equivocal results after previously being seropositive. Six HCWs not identified as cases during the outbreak were seropositive in round one, with three still seropositive in round two. Of those who participated in both rounds, 68% (n = 88) were seronegative at both time points. Discussion: Our findings demonstrate that serological testing after this large healthcare-associated COVID-19 outbreak complemented the findings of earlier diagnostic testing, with evidence of additional infections to those diagnosed when use of PCR testing had been restricted. The results also provide evidence of persisting SARS-CoV-2 antibody response eight months after an outbreak in an unvaccinated population. The high proportion of HCWs who remained seronegative is consistent with low community transmission in Tasmania after this outbreak.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Humanos , Tasmania/epidemiología , Australia/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , SARS-CoV-2 , Brotes de Enfermedades , Hospitales , Personal de Salud
7.
Med J Aust ; 218(1): 33-39, 2023 01 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36377203

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To assess associations between SARS-CoV-2 infection and the incidence of hospitalisation with selected respiratory and non-respiratory conditions in a largely SARS-CoV-2 vaccine-naïve population . DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: Self-control case series; analysis of population-wide surveillance and administrative data for all laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases notified to the Victorian Department of Health (onset, 23 January 2020 - 31 May 2021; ie, prior to widespread vaccination rollout) and linked hospital admissions data (admission dates to 30 September 2021). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospitalisation of people with acute COVID-19; incidence rate ratios (IRRs) comparing incidence of hospitalisations with defined conditions (including cardiac, cerebrovascular, venous thrombo-embolic, coagulative, and renal disorders) from three days before to within 89 days of onset of COVID-19 with incidence during baseline period (60-365 days prior to COVID-19 onset). RESULTS: A total of 20 594 COVID-19 cases were notified; 2992 people (14.5%) were hospitalised with COVID-19. The incidence of hospitalisation within 89 days of onset of COVID-19 was higher than during the baseline period for several conditions, including myocarditis and pericarditis (IRR, 14.8; 95% CI, 3.2-68.3), thrombocytopenia (IRR, 7.4; 95% CI, 4.4-12.5), pulmonary embolism (IRR, 6.4; 95% CI, 3.6-11.4), acute myocardial infarction (IRR, 3.9; 95% CI, 2.6-5.8), and cerebral infarction (IRR, 2.3; 95% CI, 1.4-3.9). CONCLUSION: SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with higher incidence of hospitalisation with several respiratory and non-respiratory conditions. Our findings reinforce the value of COVID-19 mitigation measures such as vaccination, and awareness of these associations should assist the clinical management of people with histories of SARS-CoV-2 infection.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Infarto del Miocardio , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , Vacunas contra la COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Hospitalización
9.
Front Immunol ; 13: 945021, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36032086

RESUMEN

Autoantibodies to multiple targets are found during acute COVID-19. Whether all, or some, persist after 6 months, and their correlation with sustained anti-SARS-CoV-2 immunity, is still controversial. Herein, we measured antibodies to multiple SARS-CoV-2 antigens (Wuhan-Hu-1 nucleoprotein (NP), whole spike (S), spike subunits (S1, S2 and receptor binding domain (RBD)) and Omicron spike) and 102 human proteins with known autoimmune associations, in plasma from healthcare workers 8 months post-exposure to SARS-CoV-2 (n=31 with confirmed COVID-19 disease and n=21 uninfected controls (PCR and anti-SARS-CoV-2 negative) at baseline). IgG antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 antigens were significantly higher in the convalescent cohort than the healthy cohort, highlighting lasting antibody responses up to 8 months post-infection. These were also shown to be cross-reactive to the Omicron variant spike protein at a similar level to lasting anti-RBD antibodies (correlation r=0.89). Individuals post COVID-19 infection recognised a common set of autoantigens, specific to this group in comparison to the healthy controls. Moreover, the long-term level of anti-Spike IgG was associated with the breadth of autoreactivity post-COVID-19. There were further moderate positive correlations between anti-SARS-CoV-2 responses and 11 specific autoantigens. The most commonly recognised autoantigens were found in the COVID-19 convalescent cohort. Although there was no overall correlation in self-reported symptom severity and anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody levels, anti-calprotectin antibodies were associated with return to healthy normal life 8 months post infection. Calprotectin was also the most common target for autoantibodies, recognized by 22.6% of the overall convalescent cohort. Future studies may address whether, counter-intuitively, such autoantibodies may play a protective role in the pathology of long-COVID-19.


Asunto(s)
Anticuerpos Antivirales , COVID-19 , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus , Anticuerpos Antivirales/inmunología , Autoanticuerpos/inmunología , Autoantígenos , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/inmunología , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina G , Complejo de Antígeno L1 de Leucocito/inmunología , SARS-CoV-2 , Glicoproteína de la Espiga del Coronavirus/inmunología , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19
10.
Front Public Health ; 10: 837504, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35359755

RESUMEN

The Inter-Agency Standing Committee (IASC), created by the United Nations (UN) General Assembly in 1991, serves as the global humanitarian coordination forum of the UN s system. The IASC brings 18 agencies together, including the World Health Organization (WHO), for humanitarian preparedness and response policies and action. Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, the IASC recognized the importance of providing intensified support to countries with conflict, humanitarian, or complex emergencies due to their weak health systems and fragile contexts. A Global Humanitarian Response Plan (GHRP) was rapidly developed in March 2020, which reflected the international support needed for 63 target countries deemed to have humanitarian vulnerability. This paper assessed whether WHO provided intensified technical, financial, and commodity inputs to GHRP countries (n = 63) compared to non-GHRP countries (n = 131) in the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic. The analysis showed that WHO supported all 194 countries regardless of humanitarian vulnerability. Health commodities were supplied to most countries globally (86%), and WHO implemented most (67%) of the $1.268 billion spent in 2020 at country level. However, proportionally more GHRP countries received health commodities and nearly four times as much was spent in GHRP countries per capita compared to non-GHRP countries ($232 vs. $60 per 1,000 capita). In countries with WHO country offices (n = 149), proportionally more GHRP countries received WHO support for developing national response plans and monitoring frameworks, training of technical staff, facilitating logistics, publication of situation updates, and participation in research activities prior to the characterization of the pandemic or first in-country COVID-19 case. This affirms WHO's capacity to scale country support according to its humanitarian mandate. Further work is needed to assess the impact of WHO's inputs on health outcomes during the COVID-19 pandemic, which will strengthen WHO's scaled support to countries during future health emergencies.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , Salud Global , Humanos , Organización Mundial de la Salud
11.
Environ Res ; 210: 112969, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35183515

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: While the relationship between outdoor particulate matter (PM) and lower respiratory tract infections in children and adolescents is accepted, we know little about the impacts of outdoor PM on the risk of developing or aggravating upper respiratory tract infections (URTIs). METHODS: We aimed to review the literature examining the relationship between outdoor PM exposure and URTIs in children and adolescents. A systematic search of EMBASE, MEDLINE, PubMed, Scopus, CINAHL and Web of Science databases was undertaken on April 3, 2020 and October 27, 2021. Comparable short-term studies of time-series or case-crossover designs were pooled in meta-analyses using random-effects models, while the remainder of studies were combined in a narrative analysis. Quality, risk of bias and level of evidence for health effects were appraised using a combination of emerging frameworks in environmental health. RESULTS: Out of 1366 articles identified, 34 were included in the systematic review and 16 of these were included in meta-analyses. Both PM2.5 and PM10 levels were associated with hospital presentations for URTIs (PM2.5: RR = 1.010, 95%CI = 1.007-1.014; PM10: RR = 1.016, 95%CI = 1.011-1.021) in the meta-analyses. Narrative analysis found unequivocally that total suspended particulates were associated with URTIs, but mixed results were found for PM2.5 and PM10 in both younger and older children. CONCLUSION: This study found some evidence of associations between PM and URTIs in children and adolescents, the relationship strength increased with PM10. However, the number of studies was limited and heterogeneity was considerable, thus there is a need for further studies, especially studies assessing long-term exposure and comparing sources.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio , Adolescente , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/toxicidad , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Niño , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Humanos , Material Particulado/análisis , Material Particulado/toxicidad , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/inducido químicamente , Infecciones del Sistema Respiratorio/epidemiología
12.
Pediatrics ; 148(3)2021 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34446538

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Infant influenza and pertussis disease causes considerable morbidity and mortality worldwide. We examined the effectiveness of maternal influenza and pertussis vaccines in preventing these diseases in infants. METHODS: This inception cohort study comprised women whose pregnancies ended between September 1, 2015, and December 31, 2017, in Victoria, Australia. Maternal vaccination status was sourced from the Victorian Perinatal Data Collection and linked to 5 data sets to ascertain infant outcomes and vaccination. The primary outcome of interest was laboratory-confirmed influenza or pertussis disease in infants aged <2 months, 2 to <6 months, and <6 months combined. Secondary outcomes included infant hospitalization (emergency presentation or admission) and death. Risk ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated by Poisson regression. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as (1 minus the risk ratio) x 100%. RESULTS: Among 186 962 pregnant women, 85 830 (45.9%) and 128 060 (68.5%) were vaccinated against influenza and pertussis, respectively. There were 175 and 51 infants with laboratory-confirmed influenza and pertussis disease, respectively. Influenza VE was 56.1% (95% CI, 23.3% to 74.9%) for infants aged <2 months and 35.7% (2.2% to 57.7%) for infants aged 2 to <6 months. Pertussis VE was 80.1% (95% CI, 37.1% to 93.7%) for infants aged <2 months and 31.8% (95% CI, -39.1% to 66.6%) for infants aged 2 to <6 months. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides evidence of the direct effectiveness of maternal influenza and pertussis vaccination in preventing these diseases in infants aged <2 months. The findings strengthen the importance of maternal vaccination to prevent these diseases in infants.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vacuna contra la Tos Ferina/inmunología , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Vacunas contra Difteria, Tétanos y Tos Ferina Acelular , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Vacunas contra la Influenza , Parto , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/prevención & control , Mujeres Embarazadas , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Victoria , Tos Ferina/prevención & control
13.
Lancet Public Health ; 6(8): e547-e556, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34252365

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: A cornerstone of Australia's ability to control COVID-19 has been effective border control with an extensive supervised quarantine programme. However, a rapid recrudescence of COVID-19 was observed in the state of Victoria in June, 2020. We aim to describe the genomic findings that located the source of this second wave and show the role of genomic epidemiology in the successful elimination of COVID-19 for a second time in Australia. METHODS: In this observational, genomic epidemiological study, we did genomic sequencing of all laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 diagnosed in Victoria, Australia between Jan 25, 2020, and Jan 31, 2021. We did phylogenetic analyses, genomic cluster discovery, and integrated results with epidemiological data (detailed information on demographics, risk factors, and exposure) collected via interview by the Victorian Government Department of Health. Genomic transmission networks were used to group multiple genomic clusters when epidemiological and genomic data suggested they arose from a single importation event and diversified within Victoria. To identify transmission of emergent lineages between Victoria and other states or territories in Australia, all publicly available SARS-CoV-2 sequences uploaded before Feb 11, 2021, were obtained from the national sequence sharing programme AusTrakka, and epidemiological data were obtained from the submitting laboratories. We did phylodynamic analyses to estimate the growth rate, doubling time, and number of days from the first local infection to the collection of the first sequenced genome for the dominant local cluster, and compared our growth estimates to previously published estimates from a similar growth phase of lineage B.1.1.7 (also known as the Alpha variant) in the UK. FINDINGS: Between Jan 25, 2020, and Jan 31, 2021, there were 20 451 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Victoria, Australia, of which 15 431 were submitted for sequencing, and 11 711 met all quality control metrics and were included in our analysis. We identified 595 genomic clusters, with a median of five cases per cluster (IQR 2-11). Overall, samples from 11 503 (98·2%) of 11 711 cases clustered with another sample in Victoria, either within a genomic cluster or transmission network. Genomic analysis revealed that 10 426 cases, including 10 416 (98·4%) of 10 584 locally acquired cases, diagnosed during the second wave (between June and October, 2020) were derived from a single incursion from hotel quarantine, with the outbreak lineage (transmission network G, lineage D.2) rapidly detected in other Australian states and territories. Phylodynamic analyses indicated that the epidemic growth rate of the outbreak lineage in Victoria during the initial growth phase (samples collected between June 4 and July 9, 2020; 47·4 putative transmission events, per branch, per year [1/years; 95% credible interval 26·0-85·0]), was similar to that of other reported variants, such as B.1.1.7 in the UK (mean approximately 71·5 1/years). Strict interventions were implemented, and the outbreak lineage has not been detected in Australia since Oct 29, 2020. Subsequent cases represented independent international or interstate introductions, with limited local spread. INTERPRETATION: Our study highlights how rapid escalation of clonal outbreaks can occur from a single incursion. However, strict quarantine measures and decisive public health responses to emergent cases are effective, even with high epidemic growth rates. Real-time genomic surveillance can alter the way in which public health agencies view and respond to COVID-19 outbreaks. FUNDING: The Victorian Government, the National Health and Medical Research Council Australia, and the Medical Research Future Fund.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios Epidemiológicos , Genómica , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/aislamiento & purificación , Victoria/epidemiología
14.
Int J Sports Med ; 42(13): 1222-1227, 2021 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34100276

RESUMEN

Dance injury research has mainly focused on ballet and modern dance with little data on musical theatre dancers. The purpose was to assess the incidence and severity of injuries in a musical theatre dance college over a 5-year period; 198 pre-professional musical theatre dancers (3 cohorts on a 3-year training course) volunteered for the study; 21 students left the course over the study period. Injury aetiology data were collected by an in-house physiotherapy team. Differences between academic year and sex were analysed using a Poisson distribution model; significant difference was set at p≤0.05. In total, 913 injuries were recorded, and more injuries occurred in academic year 1 than year 2 and 3. Overall injury incidence was 1.46 injuries per 1000 hours (95% CI 1.34, 1.56); incidence significantly decreased between year 1, 2 and 3 (p<0.05). There was no significant sex difference for incidence or severity. Most injuries were classified as overuse (71% female, 67% male). Pre-professional musical theatre dancers report a high proportion of lower limb and overuse injuries comparable to other dance genres. Unlike other studies on pre-professional dancers, injury incidence and severity decreased with academic year, even though workload increased across the course.


Asunto(s)
Traumatismos en Atletas/epidemiología , Baile , Trastornos de Traumas Acumulados/epidemiología , Baile/lesiones , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Masculino , Música , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudiantes , Universidades
15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35251738

RESUMEN

PROBLEM: One month after the initial case of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Tasmania, an island state of Australia, two health-care workers (HCWs) from a single regional hospital were notified to public health authorities following positive tests for SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acid. These were the first recognized cases in an outbreak that overwhelmed the hospital's ability to function. CONTEXT: The outbreak originated from two index cases. Both had returned to Tasmania following travel on a cruise ship and required hospital admission for management of COVID-19. A total of 138 cases were subsequently linked to this outbreak: 81 HCWs (most being nurses) and 23 patients across three hospitals, one resident of an aged-care facility and 33 close contacts. ACTION: The outbreak was controlled through the identification and isolation of cases, identification and quarantining of close contacts and their household members, closure of the affected facilities and community-level restrictions to reduce social mixing in the affected region. LESSONS LEARNT: Factors that were likely to have contributed to ongoing transmission in this setting included workplace practices that prevented adequate physical distancing, attending work while symptomatic, challenges in rapidly identifying contacts, mobility of staff and patients between facilities, and challenges in the implementation of infection control practices. DISCUSSION: Many commonly accepted hospital practices before the COVID-19 pandemic amplified the outbreak. The lessons learnt from this investigation changed work practices for HCWs and led to wider public health interventions in the management of potential primary and secondary contacts.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Anciano , Australia/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Tasmania/epidemiología
16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35251740

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We undertook an integrated analysis of genomic and epidemiological data to investigate a large health-care-associated outbreak of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and to better understand the epidemiology of COVID-19 cases in Tasmania, Australia. METHODS: Epidemiological data collected on COVID-19 cases notified in Tasmania between 2 March and 15 May 2020, and positive samples of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) or RNA extracted from the samples were included. Sequencing was conducted by tiled amplicon polymerase chain reaction with ARTIC v1 or v3 primers and Illumina sequencing. Consensus sequences were generated, sequences were aligned to a reference sequence and phylogenetic analysis was performed. Genomic clusters were determined and integrated with epidemiological data to provide additional information. RESULTS: All 231 COVID-19 cases notified in Tasmania during the study period and 266 SARS-CoV-2-positive samples, representing 217/231 (94%) notified cases, were included; 184/217 (84%) were clustered, 21/217 (10%) were unique and 12/217 (6%) could not be sequenced. Genomics confirmed the presence of seven clusters already identified through epidemiological links, clarified transmission networks in which the epidemiology had been unclear and identified one cluster that had not previously been recognized. DISCUSSION: Genomic analysis provided useful additional information on COVID-19 in Tasmania, including evidence of a large health-care-associated outbreak linked to an overseas cruise, the probable source of infection in cases with no previously identified epidemiological link and confirmation that there was no identified community transmission from other imported cases. Genomic insights are an important component of the response to COVID-19, and continuing genomic surveillance is warranted.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Australia , COVID-19/epidemiología , Genómica , Humanos , Filogenia , Políticas , Salud Pública , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Tasmania/epidemiología
17.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(11): e3912-e3920, 2021 12 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32663248

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Multiresistant organisms (MROs) pose a critical threat to public health. Population-based programs for control of MROs such as carbapenemase-producing Enterobacterales (CPE) have emerged and evaluation is needed. We assessed the feasibility and impact of a statewide CPE surveillance and response program deployed across Victoria, Australia (population 6.5 million). METHODS: A prospective multimodal intervention including active screening, carrier isolation, centralized case investigation, and comparative pathogen genomics was implemented. We analyzed trends in CPE incidence and clinical presentation, risk factors, and local transmission over the program's first 3 years (2016-2018). RESULTS: CPE case ascertainment increased over the study period to 1.42 cases/100 000 population, linked to increased screening without a concomitant rise in active clinical infections (0.45-0.60 infections/100 000 population, P = .640). KPC-2 infection decreased from 0.29 infections/100 000 population prior to intervention to 0.03 infections/100 000 population in 2018 (P = .003). Comprehensive case investigation identified instances of overseas community acquisition. Median time between isolate referral and genomic and epidemiological assessment for local transmission was 11 days (IQR, 9-14). Prospective surveillance identified numerous small transmission networks (median, 2; range, 1-19 cases), predominantly IMP and KPC, with median pairwise distance of 8 (IQR, 4-13) single nucleotide polymorphisms; low diversity between clusters of the same sequence type suggested genomic cluster definitions alone are insufficient for targeted response. CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate the value of centralized CPE control programs to increase case ascertainment, resolve risk factors, and identify local transmission through prospective genomic and epidemiological surveillance; methodologies are transferable to low-prevalence settings and MROs globally.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Enterobacteriaceae , Proteínas Bacterianas/genética , Infecciones por Enterobacteriaceae/epidemiología , Infecciones por Enterobacteriaceae/prevención & control , Genómica , Humanos , Estudios Prospectivos , Victoria , beta-Lactamasas/genética
18.
Aust N Z J Public Health ; 44(1): 59-64, 2020 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31535439

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of an enhanced viral hepatitis surveillance program on data completeness and on epidemiological assessment of affected populations. METHODS: Notified cases of non-acute hepatitis B and C were analysed to determine demographic characteristics and risk factors during the period prior to July 2015-June 2016, and during enhanced surveillance of the period July 2016-June 2017, during which time doctors were contacted for information about new diagnoses. RESULTS: During the enhanced period, completeness for country of birth and Indigenous status doubled for both hepatitis B and hepatitis C, from 18-37% to 48-65%. The incidence ratio of hepatitis C among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people increased from eight-fold to 11.4-fold, and the proportion of hepatitis B cases reported as born in China and Vietnam relative to other countries increased. New data fields identified that 12% of hepatitis C diagnoses occurred in a correctional facility, and 2% of hepatitis B cases were healthcare workers. CONCLUSIONS: Improved data completeness highlighted the underlying epidemiology of chronic viral hepatitis, demonstrating the increased burden of infection among specific priority populations. Implications for public health: Enhanced surveillance provides greater insight into the epidemiology of chronic viral hepatitis, identifying groups at risk and opportunities for public health action.


Asunto(s)
Hepatitis B Crónica/epidemiología , Hepatitis C Crónica/epidemiología , Nativos de Hawái y Otras Islas del Pacífico/estadística & datos numéricos , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Australia/epidemiología , Niño , Preescolar , China/etnología , Femenino , Humanos , Incidencia , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Salud Pública , Factores de Riesgo , Victoria/epidemiología , Vietnam/etnología , Adulto Joven
19.
J Eval Clin Pract ; 26(5): 1436-1447, 2020 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31816667

RESUMEN

RATIONALE, AIMS, AND OBJECTIVES: The reorganization of acute major trauma pathways in England has increased survival following traumatic injury, resulting in an increased patient population with diverse and complex needs requiring specialist rehabilitation. However, national audit data indicate that only 5% of patients with traumatic injuries have access to specialist rehabilitation, and there are limited guidelines or standards to inform the delivery of rehabilitation interventions for individuals following major trauma. This group concept mapping project aimed to identify the clinical service needs of individuals accessing our major trauma rehabilitation service, prioritize these needs, determine whether each of these needs is currently being met, and plan targeted service enhancements. METHODS: Participants contributed towards a statement generation exercise to identify the key components of rehabilitation following major trauma, and individually sorted these statements into themes. Each statement was rated based on importance and current success. Multi-dimensional scaling and hierarchical cluster analysis were applied to the sorted data to produce themed clusters of ideas within concept maps. Priority values were applied to these maps to identify key areas for targeted service enhancement. RESULTS: Fifty-eight patients and health care professionals participated in the ideas generation activity, 34 in the sorting, and 49 in the rating activity. A 7-item cluster map was agreed upon, containing the following named clusters: Communication and Coordination; Emotional and psychological wellbeing; Rehabilitation environment; Early rehabilitation; Structured therapy input; Planning for home; and Long-term support. Areas for targeted service enhancement included access to timely and adequate information provision, collaborative goal setting, and specialist pain management across the rehabilitation pathway. CONCLUSION: The conceptual framework presented in this article illustrates the importance of a continuum of rehabilitation provision across the injury trajectory, and provides a platform to track future service changes and facilitate the codesign of new rehabilitation interventions for individuals following major trauma.


Asunto(s)
Ejercicio Físico , Inglaterra , Humanos
20.
Med J Aust ; 210(10): 454-462, 2019 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31006130

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To assess variations by time of year and hospital in the uptake of influenza and pertussis vaccinations by pregnant women in Victoria; to identify factors associated with vaccination uptake. DESIGN, SETTING: Retrospective analysis of data in the Victorian Perinatal Data Collection (VPDC), a population surveillance system for obstetric conditions, procedures, and pregnancy and birth outcomes. PARTICIPANTS: Women whose pregnancies ended in a live or stillbirth during July 2015 - June 2017. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Influenza and pertussis vaccinations during pregnancy. RESULTS: 153 980 pregnancies in 67 hospitals ended during July 2015 - June 2017; 59 968 pregnant women (39.0%) were vaccinated against influenza and 98 583 (64.0%) against pertussis. Coverage varied by pregnancy end date, rising for influenza during winter and spring, but for pertussis rising continuously across the two years from 37.5% to 82.2%. Differences between hospitals in coverage were marked. Factors associated with vaccination included greater maternal age, primigravidity, early antenatal care, and GP-led care. The odds of vaccination were statistically significantly lower for women born overseas and those who smoked during pregnancy; the odds of vaccination were also lower for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander women. CONCLUSIONS: Pertussis vaccination of pregnant women in Victoria has increased, but influenza vaccination rates remain moderate and variable. Structural changes at the system level may improve maternal vaccination rates. Embedding the delivery of maternal vaccination programs in antenatal care pathways should be a priority.


Asunto(s)
Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/prevención & control , Vacunación/estadística & datos numéricos , Tos Ferina/prevención & control , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Gripe Humana/epidemiología , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Atención Prenatal/métodos , Victoria , Tos Ferina/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
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